By Ali Osman
Wednesday, July 07, 2010
President Sharif Ahmed of
Meanwhile, his Prime Minister announced cabinet ministers of 40 including Prime Minister. This cabinet is larger than the cabinet of the largest democracy in the world
If this does not make your head spin, there is more jaw-dropping statistics about this tinny nation. The Somali president was elected in January of 2009. He is in office more than 18 months. His cornerstone promise to his nation on the eve of his election was: To (1) establish security, (2) restore basic services and (3) negotiating with the insurgents and (4) Ending corruption and establishing transparence in government institutions.
The government was immediately recognized by all the member countries of the United Nations. The government is recognized and supported by
The United Nations funds African Union protection force of 5300 stationed in
(1) Security:
With the overwhelming support in material and moral it receives, the government holds less than five square kilo meters of land. The government is besieged by insurgency. The government can last by all conservative estimates less than two hours without the African Union protection force. The government soldiers are not paid regularly and jump-ship everyday for salary payments issues. The ammunitions and weapons are sold to insurgents. Ammunitions and weapons destined for the Somali security forces and even the African Union protection force end up at the hands of the insurgence. In fact, the four ministers that were doing their job, the education minister, the higher education minister, the health care minister, the youth and sports minister were killed for luck of security and conspiracies are rampant that they have been killed because they went rogue by doing actual work and not sitting in a protected compound.
(2) Restoring Basic Services:
The government has not built one single institution in education, healthy, security, roads or any other industry. The only credible service they have restored is renovating the old parliament building. That is it. The government ministers are not capable in running the offices they are being appointed. Their sole credentials are their tribal affiliation or their standing with the Prime Minister, the President, and Speaker of the Parliament or neighboring
(3) Negotiation with Insurgents:
The government has not seriously engaged with any meaningful way to reach an agreement with the moderate Hisbul-Islam let alone Al-Shabab. The only progress on this front is the occasional statement of the president that “we will sit with who ever want to sit with us”. So far no one sat with him on this front. The president is in whirlwind tour in foreign capitals asking more aid. He is asking an aid that ends up in a bottomless pit with no single agenda of progress to show for.
(4) Ending corruption and bringing transparency:
Transparency International's Corruption Perception Index ranked
The Insurgents
By all reliable estimates (New York Times and Wikipedia) the number of Al-Shabab and their supports are between 3000 – 5000 men. There is no credible evidence that they receive much funding from overseas.
What went wrong?
The problems of the current Transitional Federal Government are two folds:
(1) Sovereignty: This government was created and recognized by the international community including historical nemesis of
(2) Unconditional Support. They are recognized, supported and financed by outside actors why would they busy themselves with building basic services like restoring security, or building institutions such as police, military, schools, and hospitals if there is no accountability? What incentive is there for them to pay the salary of their police or military when their compound is protected by 5300 African Union soldiers financed by UN and US? Why would they build schools when their children go private schools in
The Transitional Federal Government was provided every opportunity to squander without consequences. There are no checks and balances in place and there is no mechanism for accountability whatsoever. They were told, you have our unwavering support without strings attached. Rather, they should have been told: Show progress within short period of time or die.
(1) Luck of Time Table: If the government and the parliament were told; you have specified period of time and if you fail, you will not be back in Somali politics, we will see results very quickly. They would immediately create well paid and financed army and police that are capable of restoring the security. Money enough for security is following in and manpower is there but the will is not there. There is no accountability. The money appropriated to security institutions is ending up in foreign accounts.
(2) Unearned Parliamentary Seats: The parliamentarians are handpicked by foreign actors and not elected or selected by the communities they represent. If they were true representative, they would have provided basic services like security, roads, hospitals and education. They are not concerned about restoring service because their legitimacy and staying power is derived from UN,
There is no mechanism for accountability. Mechanism for fair and free means for the population to elect their own representatives is not in place. As a result, the Somali government becomes hopelessly corrupt and is why the TFG is bigger than that of the
The UN, US, European Union and African Union should tell the government of President Sharif and Prime Minister Sharmarke show progress in a specified time period or die. There should be clearly stated goals and milestones to measure their progress in security, basic services, negotiations, and ending corruption. A credible threat of de-legitimization of this government and the entire parliament if they don’t show progress would create the kind of government that can restore peace and stability to this war ravaged country. Anything less is prolonging the misery of
Ali Osman is Somali Canadian blogger based in